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 Warning of higher food prices 

Warning of higher food prices

11 Aug, 2010 11:12 AM
FOOD producers have warned that higher wheat, barley and corn prices will be felt at the check-out in the next few months as they pass on rising costs.

A severe drought in Russia, one of the world's biggest wheat exporters, has heightened fears for global production shortages, pushing the wheat price up 60 per cent since July to a two-year high, The Australian Financial Review reports.

The price of barley, which is often used by farmers as a feed substitute, has had similar rises while corn, used in alternative fuel production, is also up about 20 per cent.

Commonwealth Bank agricultural strategist Luke Mathews said part of the price rise would be absorbed through the production chain, which was unlike rises experienced by fruit and vegetable producers.

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Let's see, the flour yield from 1kg of wheat is approximately 700grams (70%). At the current "high" price of $300 per t port or 30 cents per kg there is around 21 cents worth of flour in 1kg of wheat. That means that the flour's value per kg is 30cents kg. Let’s give the millers a good margin and double that to 60 cents a kg. Plus throw in the bran ect. A loaf of bread weighs around 700 grams of which about 70% is flour. Let’s call it 500 grams of flour per loaf. So let’s think about this at 60 cents per kg for flour by 500 grams, that is 30 cents a loaf with a 100 margin for the flour miller. So the question must be asked why publications like this and the Financial Review don't explain what a ridiculous claim that a change from 20cents a kg to 30cents a kg will put any credible pressure on bread an other food prices.
Posted by graingrower, 11/08/2010 9:04:14 PM
As per above, the value of the wheat in a loaf of bread at $200t port (20cents kg) is approximately 10 cents per loaf. So at the current "high" price of $300 per t (30 cents kg) there is a huge 15 cents per loaf. Maybe Rural Press could do some research and publish a list of the value of the raw ingredients which would show the absurdity of articles like the above.
Posted by graingrower, 11/08/2010 9:04:52 PM
Warning: Farmers may be able to remain viable. When will our reporters wake up to the real story?
Posted by PeterT, 12/08/2010 9:57:40 AM
It's always good to notice that the prices come down when the price of wheat drops. NOT!!!!!
Posted by Ian, 12/08/2010 10:11:13 AM
You do not see the price of groceries drop when the price of grain drops! The price on offer still has to stay up till harvest before any of this price will take effect and then the trade has to pass any increase onto the grower in full, which will not happen. It's called extracting a margin for the shareholders just like the banks do. If farmers cannot receive prices like what is around at the moment and above consistently you will see less and less grain grown. Check out the massive increase in machinery and other farm input cost. I cannot continue to grow food below the cost of production and absorb the increase in input cost. I have a family to feed as well!!!! Bumper prices pigs arse!!! Food producers are softening up consumers for another price gouge which will not be passed onto growers. Global food security? In twenty years when the population increases dramatically and there are fewer farmers who are driven out by bad government policy there will be food riots in the streets. Watch this space.
Posted by Mark, 12/08/2010 10:26:44 AM
The headline is right in one respect, the price of food is currently so low that it almost has no value at all. So by definition the only way is up!
Posted by Qlander, 12/08/2010 11:16:15 AM

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