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 OPINION: Greenhouse gas emissions in balance 

OPINION: Greenhouse gas emissions in balance

13 Jun, 2008 10:44 AM
IT HAS been reported that agriculture is responsible for 50% of greenhouse gas emissions. What has not been reported is what percentage of New Zealand’s greenhouse gases are removed from the atmosphere by pastoral farming.

Any carbon emissions tax charged or credit given should be on the net balance of an activity not just one side of it. To tax only emissions with no credit given for carbon sequestered is unfair.

All policy decisions seem to be based on the emissions and not the net contribution to total greenhouse gases by pastoral farming.

A milking cow each day eats 7kgs of carbon in the grass. 25kgs of CO2 were removed from the atmosphere to produce that carbon – CO2 is 28% carbon.

Each day, she emits, as a byproduct, 300 to 500gms of methane. Methane breaks down to CO2 and water after eight to 10 years, so the methane a cow emits does not add to the methane in the atmosphere, it simply replaces it. The methane becomes CO2, which becomes grass which the cow eats. It all goes around and around, so there should be no tax to pay.

Even if we follow the Kyoto Rules and assign a value to methane emissions of 20 times CO2 then the 300 to 500gms of methane equate to 6 to 10kgs CO2. The cow has removed 25kgs of CO2 from the atmosphere and emits 6 to 10kgs CO2 equivalents in methane. She is in credit between 15 - 19kgs.

In order to quantify the cow’s effect on greenhouse gases we need answer these questions:

* What happens to the 25kgs of CO2 the cow removes each day from the atmosphere in the grass she eats?

* How much is returned as CO2 to the atmosphere in respiration?

* How much is returned as methane to the atmosphere?

* How much is sent overseas in milk products? This carbon is a credit to the cow and the New Zealand farmer. If the carbon is eventually released to the atmosphere from an overseas country then that country should pay. In the same way, we in New Zealand will pay for emissions from a product produced overseas, namely oil.

* How much of the carbon in the cow’s faeces is absorbed by the soil and therefore removed from the atmosphere (a credit to the cow) and how much is returned to the atmosphere?

Present policy presumes it is all returned to the atmosphere simply because no one knows how much is incorporated in the soil. Ignorance is no excuse here; a fair tax cannot be imposed until this research is done. Who is doing that?

Before we can know the role pastoral farming plays in greenhouse gas emissions we need to know the answers to these questions.

If all the research has not yet been done then no one can know these answers.

Such research may eventually find that soil carbon levels increase in a pastoral farming situation for a number of reasons, including animal faeces becoming incorporated into the soil.

With that sequestration of carbon, and the carbon sent overseas in milk products taken into account, it may well be that farmers could be entitled to huge payments in carbon credits.

My rough estimation based on all the carbon in faeces returning to the soil (I know I said ignorance is no excuse but if it is good for the goose it is good for the gander) is that nearly one tonne of carbon is sequestered each year per cow.

On the issue of nitrous oxide emissions there also needs to be an accounting of the nitrogen taken from the atmosphere by clover etc.

Because N2O stays in the atmosphere for 300 years it is not as straightforward and much research needs to be done to quantify emissions before a tax can be fairly levied.

Some research in New Zealand quantifies that less than 1% of nitrogen from urine is emitted as N2O. Some overseas research quantifies it closer to 2%. This will need to be determined before a tax can be levied. Who is doing that and when will it be done?

Any breakdown of vegetation can produce N2O and all activity that causes this should be taxed, not just pastoral farming. Eg, some biofuel production, forestry, native bush, wetlands and composting all produce N2O emissions as, indeed, do we humans.

In summary, much is not known and needs to be known before a carbon trading scheme involving pastoral farmers can be fairly implemented.

To state that agriculture is responsible for 50% of our greenhouse emissions is a simplistic unbalanced statement that is quite irresponsible.

Equally, it would be irresponsible for pastoral farmers to expect a carbon credit for all the 7.2 tonnes of carbon each hectare of grass removes from the atmosphere every year, because it does not take into account the CO2 and methane emissions. The fact is though, such a claim is no more inaccurate and irresponsible than the claims made by those who state that agriculture is responsible for 50% of our greenhouse gas emissions.

Finally, the ruminant bashers need to realise a ruminant is valuable because it turns non-edible grass into a much needed edible food product.

Those who farm ruminants need to realise that any scientist employed to quantify ruminant emissions will do just that and no more, especially if they are employed by any agency with global warming, climate change or sustainability in its name.

They also need to ask why Fonterra does nothing to dispel the myth that agriculture emits 50% of greenhouse gasses.

Someone needs to employ scientists to seek the total truth, not just half of it.

- Robin Grieve is an agricultural tutor and consultant

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
Thanks Robin for the best article i have seen todate on agricultural greenhouse gass emissions instead of the PC nonsense that is constantly dished up. Your article shows balance and asks the many questions that must be answered before we can proceed down the path of destorying the economy for no gain to the environment.
Posted by John, 17/06/2008 10:44:29 AM
Well done. These questions need to be asked and answered. After all, if our agriculture is a sink then NZ has no problem to be solved. We would be a seller not a buyer. And there would be no political capital to be made our of taking action. Keep asking the questions. You are not challenging the IPCC or the climate science but just asking for policy to be based on sound research into the biosphere. And as Freeman Dyson has said for years "It's roots - not shoots." Topsoil is the great sink.
Posted by Owen McShane, 19/06/2008 4:05:28 PM
Robin, your argument that: "The methane becomes CO2, which becomes grass which the cow eats. It all goes around and around, so there should be no tax to pay." is fallacious. While the methane does eventually break down to CO2 and water in the atmosphere, it is, as you say, over a significant period of time. Assuming your higher figure of 500g of methane emitted per day the cow will, over 10 years, emit about 1.78 tonnes of methane. However, at the end of that 10 years, only a percentage of it will have been oxidised to CO2 and water. Your maths would work only if the cow emitted 1.78 tonnes of methane in the first day of that 10 years and none in the remaining 3651 days - a very strange cow indeed [and one that I hope no-one’s working to genetically engineer]! Given that methane has a global warming potential of 25 over a 100 year period, and 72 over a 20 year period (compared with 1 for the the equivalent CO2 removed from the atmosphere by the photosynthesis process in the grasses eaten by the cow), and that, as I have shown above, the methane is emitted significantly faster than it is broken down) it is nonsense to say “It all goes around and around, so there should be no tax to pay.”
Posted by toad, 20/06/2008 11:18:50 AM
Robin You are quite correct. So much 'greenhouse and carbon wisdom' is based on guess work and wild assumptions, one can only wonder what will become of the carbon market when claims are challenged or audits demanded.
Posted by Chris de Freitas, 20/06/2008 1:39:29 PM
Robyn, the principal behind what you say is quite correct. The UNFCCC rules that dictate how methane and N2O emissions are calculated is fundamentally flawed, as they only calculate the emissions half of the carbon cycle and completely ignore the other recapturing half of the cycle. The residency time of methane in the atmosphere is between 8.4 and 8.9 years and for nitrous oxide in fact is normally only one day. They are both 'oxidised, by OH in the atmosphere (except in some urban areas where the available OH becomes exhausted and smog then forms) N2O is given a CO2-e rating of about 300 but its concentration in the atmosphere is so small that its effect is insignificant. Carbon emissions are not the cause of the mild warming that mainly occurred in two periods last century. A much sounder case be made for natural and normal causes.
Posted by Ian McClintock, 24/06/2008 11:05:22 PM
Refreshing to read your article. Amazingly AL Gore Has not made a comment!.
Posted by Colin E McIntyre, 5/07/2008 9:32:34 PM
Well explained Robin. I still hold out hope that sanity will prevail and it will all be too hard and unworkable.
Posted by KC, 22/09/2008 5:20:14 PM
I've been saying many of the same things, Robin. Other unknowns are the amount of methane given off by decomposing grass and vegetation that isn't eaten by livestock, the mechanisms and lifetime of methane decomposition and transfers in and from the atmosphere.

Put that together with the near fraudulent absurdly low discount rates required to make carbon reduction cost effective - the ETS or carbon tax schemes are indefensible on any basis of logic. Probably the present financial turmoil will spell the end of the current misconceived attempts to implement them anyway.

Posted by Alan Wilkinson, 7/10/2008 7:50:31 PM
Now i write my Ph.D paper on the title:-"environmental impact assessment on cogeneration plant" please, if you have any material available inform me.thank you ahead for your cooperation.

Alemayehu

Posted by Alemayehu, 2/05/2009 8:58:09 PM
There are too many people on earth wanting more and more and living longer. Therefore apply a large tax on the third child and sterilise women who can't pay. Shipping food round is due to people living where they have insufficient local resources especially fresh water. Wasting less food and reducing use of animal products will help but to get the benefits we need to grow more trees and use the timber to reduce demand of fossil fuels. Picking on the animals is not much good when they do so much to help meet our needs for appropriate foods. The focus should be on people and the limited availability of fresh water and the need to stop using fossil fuels. Maybe we can learn to do more with sea water.
Posted by JohnJS, 28/07/2010 9:40:36 PM

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Robin Grieve
Robin Grieve

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